Main one is don't go out unless you have to!
Three of my English tips have fallen foul of the winter weather in the UK already and I'd not be surprised if some more games were postponed, but here's the list of Saturday's games that I'm going to get involved in: possible home wins in bold, home banker in bold caps.
Premiership
3:00pm
Manchester City v Bolton - back the draw at half time
Blackburn v Wolves
Championship
3:00pm
Leeds v Crystal Palace over 2.5 goals
Croatia
3:00pm
Oppose Slaven at Zadar - there are a number of ways to do this, laying on Betfair, backing Slaven or the draw and although the double chance odds slightly offputting (1.2) that's a possible avenue I'm looking for the next game.
Hungary
3:00pm
Oppose Szombathely at ZALAEGERSZEG
I know those names look strange, but basically Alder Tree Corner should beat Progress Saturday Market Place; Szombathely have lost seven of their eight away games in the league this season.
UPDATE: Postponed - in fact, the entire NB1 programme for this weekend was cancelled and will be replayed at the end of February.
Portugal
9:15pm
Uniao de Leiria v Sporting Braga - oppose Braga, but caution if you're thinking of backing Leiria outright.
I think there's a possibility that the bookies are being cute here, hoping that punters will back Braga because they beat Arsenal in the last round of the Champions League. Don't be fooled - Braga haven't won an away game in the league this season and although they've won two of the last ten meetings in Leiria (half way between Lisbon and Porto if you're interested), half of the other games have been draws.
The Leiria/draw double chance odds are currently 1.57 - which qualifies as a value bet as my numbers indicate the odds should be at least 1.47.
I ran some numbers for the other leagues but although there were a few that could have been interesting, upon further investigation there were either some anomalies or there was no value available. For the record, Chelsea should beat Everton, Blackpool and Manchester United should score more than 2.5 goals between them (update: postponed on Friday) and Real Madrid shouldn't have any problems with Valencia.
Who Are Ya?
- Mike Roberts
- Bristol, South West, United Kingdom
- Citizen of the UK, where gambling is legal.
Friday, 3 December 2010
Thursday, 2 December 2010
The Joke Is On Us...Again.
Can't be bothered to write much after that travesty, so I'll leave it at that. If it's any consolation, I think there might be concerns raised about Russian suitability as a host well before 2018.
And as far Qatar...that's an even bigger joke. Are all the stadiums going to be air conditioned or something? There are a lot of cultural issues on both sides as well.
And as far Qatar...that's an even bigger joke. Are all the stadiums going to be air conditioned or something? There are a lot of cultural issues on both sides as well.
World Cup 2018
No tips today, just some thoughts.
I was only two years old in 1966 so I don't remember anything about the tournament. On the day of the final my mum, her mum and I went for a walk in the park as there's no doubt that I would have been too disruptive and my dad and my grandad wouldn't have appreciated that.
A couple of years later the team from the town I grew up in reached the Amateur Cup Final: my dad and one of his mates went to see them lose 1-0 at Wembley and I wanted to go. Not because I understood why they were going: I didn't want to be miss whatever was happening because the whole town was excited about it. My mum - who was seven months pregnant - and I spent the afternoon with some family friends, who - then as now - are Watford supporters.
We're only a few hours away from the vote that decides the host country for the 2018 finals and I've just watched the final presentation by the FA bid team: it was great stuff and I'm not ashamed to say that I got a little emotional about it. Apart from a few wild years where I didn't really pay much attention to what was happening (those years were called the mid eighties, which were a spectacularly crap time for English football), I've been a football fan since I was seven years old and being able to see a World Cup in England is something I've always wanted to do.
The result will be in at 3:00pm GMT and I'll post something then.
I was only two years old in 1966 so I don't remember anything about the tournament. On the day of the final my mum, her mum and I went for a walk in the park as there's no doubt that I would have been too disruptive and my dad and my grandad wouldn't have appreciated that.
A couple of years later the team from the town I grew up in reached the Amateur Cup Final: my dad and one of his mates went to see them lose 1-0 at Wembley and I wanted to go. Not because I understood why they were going: I didn't want to be miss whatever was happening because the whole town was excited about it. My mum - who was seven months pregnant - and I spent the afternoon with some family friends, who - then as now - are Watford supporters.
We're only a few hours away from the vote that decides the host country for the 2018 finals and I've just watched the final presentation by the FA bid team: it was great stuff and I'm not ashamed to say that I got a little emotional about it. Apart from a few wild years where I didn't really pay much attention to what was happening (those years were called the mid eighties, which were a spectacularly crap time for English football), I've been a football fan since I was seven years old and being able to see a World Cup in England is something I've always wanted to do.
The result will be in at 3:00pm GMT and I'll post something then.
Wednesday, 1 December 2010
Free Tip For Friday December 3rd
It's the final weekend before the winter break in both Croatia and Hungary this weekend - neither of them restart until the last weekend in February(!), so there'll be plenty of time for me to do some analysis on how both leagues are shaping up before they start playing again. I'm thinking of adding a PDF for each to the blog in the near future, but I'll post when they're available.
There's only one game worth looking at on Friday afternoon in Croatia and Inter Zaprešić v Cibalia (3:00pm GMT) isn't going to be a classic. The weather will be zero degrees and snowing at kickoff time, it's the last game before Christmas and neither of these teams are what you might call prolific in front of goal. Zaprešić's eight home games this season have produced a grand total of eighteen goals, while there have been only 11 goals in Cibalia's eight away games, so it's hardly a huge surprise that I'm recommending under 2.5 goals.
In keeping with the last couple of weekends, I'll be posting some tips from the less exposed European Leagues over the next few days and for the first time this season I'll be including Greece.
There's only one game worth looking at on Friday afternoon in Croatia and Inter Zaprešić v Cibalia (3:00pm GMT) isn't going to be a classic. The weather will be zero degrees and snowing at kickoff time, it's the last game before Christmas and neither of these teams are what you might call prolific in front of goal. Zaprešić's eight home games this season have produced a grand total of eighteen goals, while there have been only 11 goals in Cibalia's eight away games, so it's hardly a huge surprise that I'm recommending under 2.5 goals.
In keeping with the last couple of weekends, I'll be posting some tips from the less exposed European Leagues over the next few days and for the first time this season I'll be including Greece.
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