Wednesday Tips Part 2

Sometimes you've got to laugh at this game. I managed to pick the Greek match that featured three goals in as an almost guaranteed under, with two others ending in scoreless draws. Bolton are tonight's home banker.

Premiership
7:45pm
Aston Villa v Sunderland
Villa are only in a mess due to their appalling away record this season, so it's a good job that their home form is holding up - they've only lost to Arsenal and Spurs this season. Despite winning at Chelsea, Sunderland's record on the road is almost as bad as Villa's and they've only won once in their last ten league games at Villa Park so opposing the Black Cats in some way is appealling.

8:00pm
BOLTON v Wigan
According to my numbers, the most improved home side against the most improved away side in the Premiership. Wigan have won two of the last five league meetings at the Reebok, but haven't won back to back away games in the Prem since the end of 2006. The Latics have also lost seven of the ten games immediately after they've won an away game. Both teams to score could be worth a look: Bolton have only kept two clean sheets at home this season, Wigan have scored in five of their nine aways this season and have only failed to score twice in fifteen all time league games at Bolton.

Watching Brief
8:00pm
Blackburn v Liverpool
Lots of contradictions here - getting rid of Sam Allardyce looks like a massive mistake and the Ronaldinho transfer rumours are quickly turning Rovers into a laughing stock. Having said that, their home record is still much better than Liverpool's away form and although a draw might not be out of the question, opposing Blackburn could be the right play - if Liverpool lose, it could be the end of the Roy Hodgson era.