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Friday, 28 January 2011

Free Tips For Games In Belgium & Greece

There's a chance that all games in the Greek Super League this weekend could be under 2.5 goals, but with Panathinaikos and Atromitos at home and AEK and Panserraikos away it looks unlikely. Oddly enough, the bottom two in both Belgium and Greece play each other this weekend - and both of those games are problematic.


SATURDAY
Greece
3.15pm
Iraklis v Kerkyra
Oppose Kerkyra - under 2.5 might also be worth considering and assuming an Iraklis win, that could be to nil. Iraklis have kept clean sheets in five of their nine games at the Kafantzoglio this season, which is the same number of times Kerkyra have failed to score on their travels.


Belgium
7:00pm
Club Brugge v Germinal Beerschot
Fourth placed Brugge have been a disappointment this season (fourteen points behind Anderlecht already) and they're too short to consider backing here, so the alternative markets kick in - both clubs have defensive frailties but the both teams to score market depends on Beerschot bringing their shooting boots with them. The visitors have only scored once in their last five league visits to the Jan Breydel Stadium and are currently one of six clubs in Belgium that have scored less than one goal per game on the road. Over 2.5 goals is possible, but keep the stake realistic.

Lierse v Charleroi
Bottom two clubs, so some caution advised here - opposing Charleroi looks like the safest course to me. Worth noting that only one of the eight games between the current bottom six has produced more than 2.5 goals and both teams scored in only two of those eight games.

Standard Liege v Westerlo
Definitely worth a look, especially as Standard's price has been drifting all week: despite Westerlo showing an improvement on the road this season, they've lost the last eight league games in Liege and have failed to score in seven of those.


KORTRIJK v Cercle Brugge
A nice price for a possible home win. Kortrijk's improvement at home is based on a tough defence and they've beaten Cercle in the last two league meetings in West Flanders. The only caution here would be that Kortrijk have neither won nor scored in their last two home games at the Guldensporenstadion, which is named after a medieval battle.


Sunday
A couple of possible away wins in Belgium, but I'd tread very carefully with the Greek games


Greece
1:00pm
Panionios v Kavala - watching brief only.
On paper, this game is one where over 2.5 goals is totally unthinkable...until you get to the head to head record. Four of the last five meetings at Panionios have been over. If you can find any markets for over/under 3000 spectators, take under, but the tentative recommendation is for Panionios NOT to keep a clean sheet

3:15pm
Larissa v Pansseraikos
Finding a way to oppose Pansseraikos looks like the right choice here as they've only won once in their last five trips to central Greece, but here's an official caveat emptor. Games between the current bottom four in the Super League have produced only one home win this season and that was the reverse fixture between these two at the beginning of October...I'm almost tempted to say wait and see what happens between Lierse and Charleroi on Saturday and then back whatever outcome that game produced.
Update: leave this one alone as well.



Belgium
5:00pm
Mechelen v Anderlecht
Hosts have only lost once at home this season (to Club Brugge, which is significant because despite having a disappointing season they're one of the better teams in Belgium) but have only beaten Anderlecht twice in the league at home in the last nine league meetings. Anderlecht are good for at least one goal so Mechelen not to keep a clean sheet could be worth a nibble if the price isn't too silly.

7:30pm
St Truiden v Gent
Possibly lay the draw - Gent have won six of the last ten visits to St. Truiden in the league and the hosts have yet to draw at home. It's trappy, but the alternative - Gent draw no bet - is too short.

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