While everyone else is looking at the Champions League Play Offs, I was originally going to be looking at Bohemians v Bray Wanderers in the Airtricity Irish Premiership.
Bohemians are heavy favourites at 1.22 despite their recent home form being a bit inconsistent (3-5-2); Bray's price is currently somewhere between 15 and 19.5 which appears to be driven by Bray's awful record at Dalymount Park (two wins in the last fifteen games there - including the corresponding game last season); they've also lost six of their last ten away games.
Having said that...the trade potential is in the goals, or rather the lack of them. I don't think there will be that many, which is at odds (excuse the pun) with this morning's prices but even this looks like a punt due to Bray's poor defensive record - on the other hand, there's a reasonable chance that Bohemians could keep a clean sheet.
It's actually quite hard to see much value from any angle (apart from a Bray win) so despite ticking nearly all of the boxes for a system game, I'm going to leave this game alone. As I've said before, the best way to save money in the long run is not to get involved: there will always be other games with better prospects.
I bought the Racing & Football Outlook Football Guide 2010/11 at lunchtime (which at £6.99 - $11 or so - is a no brainer) and Cambridge United v Crawley Town looks like the kind of game I'd be interested in if it was later in the season as I think Cambridge United might represent good value at 2.5 (6/4). Watching brief for that one though as it's too early.
Who Are Ya?
- Mike Roberts
- Bristol, South West, United Kingdom
- Citizen of the UK, where gambling is legal.
Showing posts with label Book Reviews. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Book Reviews. Show all posts
Tuesday, 17 August 2010
Sunday, 15 August 2010
Small Stakes, Big Fun
I made a total profit on Betfair for the week of £3.48 over the last seven days, not bad considering I only tanked on two bets, both of which happened yesterday - neither Shimizu S-Pulse or Zenit St. Petersburg won their games - the Zenit game was a mistake on my part (I should have dutched win/draw) but I thought Shimizu were good for an outright win.
Having said that, the insurance bets I placed over the past week showed a profit of £2.36 so the overall profit figure was £5.84. I also had a punt on a whim (Billy Sharp anytime goalscorer for Doncaster Rovers v. Bristol City) which came in spectacularly when Sharp scored a late equaliser from the penalty spot but I'm not going to count that one as it was a gut reaction that wasn't based on planning and organisation. Oh and winning the same bet last year.
The next decision is what to do with the cash. To be honest, £5.84 won't even buy you a couple of pints or a packet of cigarettes these days so the wisest choice is to re-invest it; I've opened trading positions on the Dutch Eredivisie, French Ligue 1 and the Premiership but I'm not really going to take much notice of what's happening with individual leagues right now.
Talking of the Premiership, my wife bought me 'The Premier Football Betting Handbook 2010/11' by Matt Finnigan and Pete Nordsted for my birthday and even though I've not had much time to get stuck into it, based on having read the book they wrote about World Cup betting and Mr. Nordsted's book 'Mastering Betfair' I would thoroughly recommend it. I kept an eye on some of the advice they recommend during yesterday's Premiership games and there were a couple that looked very promising that came up trumps. I personally think that it's far too early to get involved with individual games in either the Premiership or the Football League at the moment, but that's purely because of the way my system works. In any case, it's fun keeping an eye on how competitions develop before getting involved with them - there are plenty of opportunities in the summer leagues, although they've been few and far between over the last couple of days.
A couple of dates for the diary: the draws for the group stages of both the Champions League and the Europa League take place on consecutive days at the end of the month - UCL draw is on August 26th and the Europa League draw is the following day.
I've also modified my horse laying system a little and that seems to be working, but once again I'm not thinking of posting any recommendations until they start showing a profit. There won't be any football recommendations tomorrow but there may be a racing one; I'm off to do investigate that now.
Having said that, the insurance bets I placed over the past week showed a profit of £2.36 so the overall profit figure was £5.84. I also had a punt on a whim (Billy Sharp anytime goalscorer for Doncaster Rovers v. Bristol City) which came in spectacularly when Sharp scored a late equaliser from the penalty spot but I'm not going to count that one as it was a gut reaction that wasn't based on planning and organisation. Oh and winning the same bet last year.
The next decision is what to do with the cash. To be honest, £5.84 won't even buy you a couple of pints or a packet of cigarettes these days so the wisest choice is to re-invest it; I've opened trading positions on the Dutch Eredivisie, French Ligue 1 and the Premiership but I'm not really going to take much notice of what's happening with individual leagues right now.
Talking of the Premiership, my wife bought me 'The Premier Football Betting Handbook 2010/11' by Matt Finnigan and Pete Nordsted for my birthday and even though I've not had much time to get stuck into it, based on having read the book they wrote about World Cup betting and Mr. Nordsted's book 'Mastering Betfair' I would thoroughly recommend it. I kept an eye on some of the advice they recommend during yesterday's Premiership games and there were a couple that looked very promising that came up trumps. I personally think that it's far too early to get involved with individual games in either the Premiership or the Football League at the moment, but that's purely because of the way my system works. In any case, it's fun keeping an eye on how competitions develop before getting involved with them - there are plenty of opportunities in the summer leagues, although they've been few and far between over the last couple of days.
A couple of dates for the diary: the draws for the group stages of both the Champions League and the Europa League take place on consecutive days at the end of the month - UCL draw is on August 26th and the Europa League draw is the following day.
I've also modified my horse laying system a little and that seems to be working, but once again I'm not thinking of posting any recommendations until they start showing a profit. There won't be any football recommendations tomorrow but there may be a racing one; I'm off to do investigate that now.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)