200th Post: Friday's Tips

Couple of games in Eastern Europe this afternoon - bold indicates likely home win, bold caps indicates likely home banker.

Croatia
4:00pm
Inter Zapresic v NK Zagreb
A possible home win, but once again that's not why I'm interested. According to a couple of sets of numbers I've run, this game is around 55-60% to finish with under 2.5 goals being scored and 75-85% to finish with under 3.5 goals being scored. Take your pick.

Hungary
4:00pm
KECSKEMETI v Debrecen
Key stat: 2.99 goals per game in NB1.
Key pronunciation: Kutch-KUH-mayti, Deh-BRET-sen

It's goals again in this one though - over 2.5 goals. There's been at least one goal in Kecskemeti's last 20 home league games and they've scored in 19 of them: the only aspect of Debrecen's performance I'd be worried about is that they've failed to score in four of their seven away games this season so the hosts might have to do all the work themselves: a nibble at a Kecskemeti win might be a good idea too as despite being a top five team, Debrecen's away form is horrible.